Insurgency, and morning after
Before our eyes, the 12-year-long insurgency in northeast Nigeria is unravelling. Boko Haram fighters and their dependents have burrowed out of hiding places and surrendered in droves to the Nigerian military; it was estimated that 2,000 handed themselves over to army units in southern Borno State towns of Konduga, Bama and Mafa in recent weeks. The bombings that mainly characterised the insurgency have largely ceased, and it seems quite apparent that the fighters have lost enthusiasm or, at least, have been considerably degraded. There’s a break in the insurgency and you could feel it. If the trend holds steady, it will be a major feat by the Muhammadu Buhari presidency comparable to the de-arming of Niger Delta militants by the late President Umaru Yar’Adua’s administration between 2009 and early 2010. The military have been in bragging mood and, yes, they earned it. The “massive surrendering” of Boko Haram and Islamic State of West Africa Province (ISWAP) terrorists is the result of...